The Cong vs Long An analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Cong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
DON
2 - 0
TCF
47%
25%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
TCF
0 - 1
HOA
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
TCF
0 - 0
BIN
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
HAI
3 - 1
TCF
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
TCF
0 - 3
NOI
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Long An
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
LON
1 - 2
NAM
46%
25%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2004 |
LON
0 - 4
SON
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
DAN
5 - 2
LON
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
HOA
2 - 1
LON
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
BIN
4 - 1
LON
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |