Thatcham Town vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
59.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thatcham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 2
THA
64%
20%
16%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GOD
1 - 2
THA
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
THA
0 - 1
CIR
14%
21%
64%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SHO
3 - 0
THA
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
THA
1 - 3
CIN
43%
25%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SWI
2 - 0
NOR
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FLE
3 - 0
SWI
9%
18%
73%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SWI
2 - 0
BRI
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CIN
1 - 3
SWI
25%
24%
52%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SWI
4 - 1
GOD
71%
17%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |