Thatcham Town vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thatcham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
MAN
0 - 4
THA
16%
19%
66%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
THA
8 - 0
BAS
79%
13%
7%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LAR
2 - 0
THA
26%
23%
52%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -4 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
FRO
3 - 0
THA
28%
23%
50%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
THA
1 - 2
BRI
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
AFD
3 - 3
ROY
9%
17%
74%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
AFD
4 - 0
HAL
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
AYL
3 - 1
AFD
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AFD
0 - 3
KID
38%
23%
39%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
AFD
1 - 4
HAL
13%
20%
67%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |