Tesorillo vs Barbate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1405%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tesorillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
UDT
1 - 1
GUA
52%
22%
27%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
BCA
2 - 1
UDT
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
UDT
1 - 1
CHI
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
UDT
3 - 1
LOS
73%
16%
12%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
CDS
3 - 0
UDT
42%
24%
35%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Barbate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 1
UDT
21%
21%
58%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
ARC
1 - 0
BAR
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 1
CDE
21%
22%
57%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CDV
2 - 2
BAR
36%
24%
40%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 1
TRE
40%
23%
36%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |