Ternana U19 vs Ascoli U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
75.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
16º
15º
59
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
80.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
80.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
79.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
79% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 28 |
16º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 0
TER
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TER
0 - 2
SAL
18%
20%
62%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CRO
1 - 0
TER
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TER
0 - 1
USV
8%
14%
77%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BEN
3 - 1
TER
85%
10%
4%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 2
ASC
45%
25%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
ASC
3 - 1
PER
52%
23%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VIR
2 - 1
ASC
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ASC
4 - 2
IMC
50%
21%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
EMP
2 - 3
ASC
51%
24%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |