Ternana Calcio vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
18%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
20.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1979 |
CES
2 - 0
TER
48%
30%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
UDI
4 - 0
TER
60%
25%
15%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
TER
1 - 1
PIS
46%
30%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
RIM
1 - 2
TER
44%
31%
26%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
TER
3 - 1
ASS
45%
32%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1979 |
LEC
1 - 2
SAM
49%
29%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
PES
1 - 0
LEC
60%
25%
15%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
LEC
1 - 0
RIM
63%
24%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
PIS
1 - 1
LEC
58%
26%
16%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
TAR
1 - 1
LEC
42%
33%
26%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |