Ternana Calcio vs Atlético Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GEL
0 - 0
TER
29%
30%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
TER
3 - 2
USF
27%
27%
47%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
JUS
2 - 0
TER
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
TER
3 - 2
FCV
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
NOC
1 - 0
TER
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
6 - 0
CAV
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 2
GEL
71%
18%
10%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 1
ATL
25%
27%
49%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
JUS
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
USF
3 - 1
ATL
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |