Serie B Round 28

Ternana Calcio vs Atalanta analysis

Ternana Calcio Atalanta
66 ELO 79
-12.2% Tilt 3.5%
536º General ELO ranking
36º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
23.9%
Ternana Calcio
27.3%
Draw
48.8%
Atalanta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
Ternana Calcio
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
48.8%
Win probability
Atalanta
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ternana Calcio
-3%
-5%
Atalanta

ELO progression

Ternana Calcio
Atalanta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ternana Calcio
Ternana Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2006
CES
Cesena
3 - 2
Ternana Calcio
TER
51%
26%
23%
66 71 5 0
28 Jan. 2006
TER
Ternana Calcio
1 - 0
SS Arezzo
ARZ
39%
28%
33%
65 70 5 +1
21 Jan. 2006
PES
Pescara
1 - 0
Ternana Calcio
TER
46%
25%
29%
66 64 2 -1
17 Jan. 2006
TER
Ternana Calcio
2 - 2
Triestina
TRI
43%
28%
29%
66 68 2 0
13 Jan. 2006
ABN
AlbinoLeffe
1 - 0
Ternana Calcio
TER
34%
27%
39%
67 62 5 -1

Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2006
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 2
Catania
CAT
59%
24%
17%
80 72 8 0
30 Jan. 2006
TOR
Torino
2 - 2
Atalanta
ATL
39%
27%
34%
80 76 4 0
21 Jan. 2006
TRI
Triestina
1 - 2
Atalanta
ATL
26%
28%
46%
80 68 12 0
17 Jan. 2006
ATL
Atalanta
2 - 1
Piacenza
PIA
62%
23%
15%
79 71 8 +1
14 Jan. 2006
VER
Hellas Verona
0 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
37%
28%
35%
79 71 8 0