Ternana Calcio vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 2
TER
74%
18%
8%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
TER
1 - 0
CRO
30%
27%
42%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
EMP
0 - 2
TER
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
TER
0 - 0
CES
30%
28%
41%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
TER
67%
22%
11%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
CTT
3 - 0
LEO
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
LIV
2 - 2
CTT
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CES
1 - 0
CTT
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CTT
1 - 0
VIR
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 1
CTT
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |