Serie B Playout Final
Global 1-4
Ternana Calcio vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
TER
45%
25%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
FER
0 - 1
TER
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TER
1 - 0
FCC
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FCS
4 - 3
TER
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TER
0 - 1
ASC
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
TER
45%
25%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
BRE
37%
27%
37%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CTT
1 - 1
BAR
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAR
23%
26%
51%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NUO
4 - 1
BAR
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |