Serie B Round 40

Ternana Calcio vs Cesena analysis

Ternana Calcio Cesena
65 ELO 73
-5.3% Tilt -11.3%
594º General ELO ranking 437º
36º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
32.1%
Ternana Calcio
29%
Draw
38.9%
Cesena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
Ternana Calcio
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
38.9%
Win probability
Cesena
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ternana Calcio
-2%
-4%
Cesena

ELO progression

Ternana Calcio
Cesena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ternana Calcio
Ternana Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2016
COM
Como
1 - 2
Ternana Calcio
TER
33%
29%
38%
65 57 8 0
23 Apr. 2016
TER
Ternana Calcio
1 - 3
Ascoli
ASC
51%
26%
24%
66 61 5 -1
19 Apr. 2016
TER
Ternana Calcio
2 - 2
Pro Vercelli
LEO
49%
27%
24%
66 64 2 0
16 Apr. 2016
VIC
Vicenza
2 - 1
Ternana Calcio
TER
43%
28%
29%
66 65 1 0
09 Apr. 2016
TER
Ternana Calcio
1 - 2
Crotone
CRO
29%
29%
43%
67 75 8 -1

Matches

Cesena
Cesena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 2016
CES
Cesena
2 - 1
Pro Vercelli
LEO
64%
22%
14%
73 64 9 0
23 Apr. 2016
TRA
Trapani
2 - 1
Cesena
CES
51%
25%
24%
73 73 0 0
18 Apr. 2016
CES
Cesena
2 - 1
Crotone
CRO
40%
28%
32%
73 76 3 0
15 Apr. 2016
PES
Pescara
1 - 0
Cesena
CES
49%
26%
26%
73 72 1 0
09 Apr. 2016
CES
Cesena
1 - 1
Vicenza
VIC
63%
22%
15%
73 65 8 0