Temperley vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Temperley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
AND
0 - 0
TEM
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
TEM
3 - 1
ALM
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 1
TEM
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
TEM
1 - 0
ACA
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SUA
1 - 0
TEM
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 1
EST
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
ALM
1 - 0
DEF
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 2
COL
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BRO
0 - 1
DEF
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
DEF
3 - 2
FLA
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |