Telfs vs Imst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
60.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
9º
6º
36
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Telfs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MOT
2 - 1
TEL
48%
22%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
REI
2 - 0
TEL
58%
21%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
TEL
2 - 1
FUG
69%
17%
14%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
WOR
2 - 0
TEL
61%
20%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TEL
5 - 3
HAL
80%
12%
8%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Imst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
IMS
7 - 2
FUG
88%
9%
4%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
WOR
2 - 1
IMS
30%
23%
47%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
IMS
3 - 1
HAL
91%
7%
2%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
WAT
4 - 3
IMS
9%
17%
73%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
IMS
1 - 4
LAS
9%
16%
76%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |