Tejeda vs Guayarmina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.4%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
82.7%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.2%
0-5
4.9%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.7%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.1%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tejeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 0
TEJ
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
TEJ
1 - 2
ICO
58%
19%
23%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
KAY
1 - 0
TEJ
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 0
TEJ
82%
11%
7%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
TEJ
3 - 4
TCA
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guayarmina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
GYM
2 - 4
VIL
49%
21%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
TCA
1 - 9
GYM
6%
12%
82%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
GYM
2 - 0
IPI
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SPA
0 - 0
GYM
16%
18%
66%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
MOY
1 - 3
GYM
6%
12%
82%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |