OFC Champions Fase de grupos. Jor. 3

Tefana vs Marist Fire analysis

Tefana Marist Fire
30 ELO 31
37.4% Tilt 33.5%
8486º General ELO ranking 9531º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
59.5%
Tefana
19.1%
Draw
21.4%
Marist Fire

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
Tefana
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
21.4%
Win probability
Marist Fire
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tefana
+91%
-27%
Marist Fire

ELO progression

Tefana
Marist Fire
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tefana
Tefana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2017
TEF
Tefana
2 - 0
Rewa
REW
66%
18%
16%
29 29 0 0
12 Mar. 2017
ERA
Erakor Golden Star
2 - 4
Tefana
TEF
41%
21%
38%
27 31 4 +2
09 Mar. 2017
TEF
Tefana
1 - 3
Dragon
DRA
63%
16%
21%
29 29 0 -2
05 Mar. 2017
TEF
Tefana
10 - 0
Tahiti Sub 17
TAH
90%
7%
4%
29 19 10 0
26 Feb. 2017
OLY
Olympic Mahina
0 - 7
Tefana
TEF
34%
20%
46%
29 27 2 0

Matches

Marist Fire
Marist Fire
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2017
ERA
Erakor Golden Star
2 - 1
Marist Fire
MAR
40%
22%
38%
32 29 3 0
12 Mar. 2017
MAR
Marist Fire
4 - 2
Rewa
REW
53%
23%
24%
31 30 1 +1
15 Dec. 2016
REA
Real Kakamora
1 - 4
Marist Fire
MAR
50%
21%
29%
29 29 0 +2
11 Dec. 2016
SOL
Solomon Warriors FC
2 - 3
Marist Fire
MAR
61%
18%
21%
29 29 0 0
08 Dec. 2016
KOL
Koloale Fc
0 - 3
Marist Fire
MAR
47%
21%
32%
29 26 3 0
X