Tefana vs AS Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+106%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tefana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
DRA
1 - 2
TEF
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
TEF
12 - 1
OLY
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
TEF
3 - 2
VEN
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
TEF
2 - 0
MAN
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
RON
1 - 6
TEF
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ASE
2 - 1
TAM
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
ASE
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
OLY
0 - 5
ASE
20%
21%
59%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
PIR
2 - 1
ASE
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ASE
2 - 2
VAI
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |