Team Wellington vs Eastern Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
TEA
3 - 1
AUC
53%
22%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
TEA
0 - 2
AUC
57%
20%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -3 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AUC
3 - 0
TEA
39%
22%
40%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
TEA
7 - 1
MAG
93%
6%
1%
|
69 | 34 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MAG
2 - 2
TEA
5%
10%
86%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
MEL
4 - 1
EAS
9%
15%
77%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AUC
2 - 1
EAS
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
EAS
2 - 1
CAN
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
TAS
2 - 1
EAS
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 1
EAS
22%
26%
53%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |