Team Vaud U18 vs FC Luzern-Kriens U18 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
61%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
10º
12º
13º
27
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Vaud U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TVA
1 - 2
FCV
39%
21%
40%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
RAP
3 - 2
TVA
89%
8%
3%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TVA
0 - 1
FCZ
16%
18%
67%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 1
TVA
86%
9%
5%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TVA
1 - 5
SER
20%
19%
61%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC Luzern-Kriens U18 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TEA
0 - 0
BSC
11%
16%
74%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCB
4 - 1
TEA
84%
10%
5%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
TEA
6 - 0
SUD
7%
13%
79%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | +5 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCV
0 - 1
TEA
78%
14%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TEA
0 - 2
RAP
6%
12%
82%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | -1 |