Aarau Sub 18 vs Servette FC Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
38.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
12º
8º
44
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TAA
0 - 7
FCB
14%
16%
70%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCT
1 - 1
TAA
16%
18%
66%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TAA
0 - 2
LSS
72%
15%
13%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCZ
0 - 1
TAA
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TAA
2 - 2
TWC
45%
21%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Servette FC Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TTI
2 - 3
SFC
38%
23%
39%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SFC
4 - 0
FCS
72%
15%
13%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SFC
2 - 2
STG
45%
21%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GCZ
1 - 1
SFC
52%
21%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SFC
5 - 6
FCB
16%
17%
67%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |