Aarau U18 vs Servette FC U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
38.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
12º
8º
44
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TAA
0 - 7
FCB
14%
16%
70%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCT
1 - 1
TAA
16%
18%
66%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TAA
0 - 2
LSS
72%
15%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCZ
0 - 1
TAA
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TAA
2 - 2
TWC
45%
21%
34%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Servette FC U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TTI
2 - 3
SFC
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SFC
4 - 0
FCS
72%
15%
13%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SFC
2 - 2
STG
45%
21%
34%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GCZ
1 - 1
SFC
52%
21%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SFC
5 - 6
FCB
16%
17%
67%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |