Aarau U18 vs FC Thun U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BYB
7 - 4
TAA
86%
10%
5%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
TAA
3 - 3
TTI
38%
23%
39%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
TVA
1 - 2
TAA
33%
23%
44%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
TAA
3 - 1
TWC
37%
22%
41%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
TAA
2 - 2
FCS
36%
22%
42%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Thun U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
TVA
4 - 1
FCT
57%
20%
23%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
FCT
1 - 2
STG
13%
17%
70%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCT
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FCB
4 - 0
FCT
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
FCT
1 - 6
BYB
8%
14%
78%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | -1 |