Aarau Sub 18 vs FC Thun Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
TAA
0 - 0
BYB
13%
17%
71%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
FCB
0 - 2
TAA
85%
11%
5%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
TAA
0 - 5
TBJ
34%
23%
43%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
FCS
0 - 2
TAA
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
TAA
1 - 3
GCZ
12%
17%
72%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Thun Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
FCT
4 - 2
TWC
40%
22%
37%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
BYB
2 - 1
FCT
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
FCT
2 - 2
FCB
6%
11%
83%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
TBJ
3 - 2
FCT
77%
13%
10%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
FCT
3 - 1
FCS
22%
20%
59%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |