Toledo EC vs J. Malucelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
OPE
1 - 1
TCW
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
TCW
4 - 0
CIA
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
COT
3 - 1
TCW
86%
11%
3%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
TCW
2 - 0
NPR
64%
22%
15%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
TCW
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
JMA
0 - 2
LON
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ATP
3 - 1
JMA
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
JMA
2 - 2
PAR
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
JMA
3 - 2
OPE
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 2
JMA
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |