Tajikistan vs East Timor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
4.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
TJK
0 - 5
BLR
33%
25%
42%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
TJK
3 - 1
AFG
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
TJK
4 - 0
NPL
81%
14%
5%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
PHL
0 - 0
TJK
15%
20%
64%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
LBN
1 - 0
TJK
39%
25%
37%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
East Timor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
LBN
4 - 0
TLS
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 63 | 44 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
KHM
2 - 1
TLS
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
TLS
0 - 3
SGP
10%
17%
73%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
MAS
3 - 2
TLS
82%
13%
5%
|
21 | 59 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
TLS
0 - 10
THA
5%
12%
83%
|
21 | 70 | 49 | 0 |