AFC Challenge Cup Fase de grupos. Jor. 1

Tajikistan vs Bangladesh analysis

Tajikistan Bangladesh
54 ELO 43
8.4% Tilt -4.1%
2086º General ELO ranking 6983º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
73%
Tajikistan
17%
Draw
9.9%
Bangladesh

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
Tajikistan
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.9%
Win probability
Bangladesh
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tajikistan
+23%
+8%
Bangladesh

ELO progression

Tajikistan
Bangladesh
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tajikistan
Tajikistan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 2010
YEM
Yemen
0 - 1
Tajikistan
TJK
50%
24%
26%
55 55 0 0
30 Dec. 2009
YEM
Yemen
2 - 1
Tajikistan
TJK
47%
24%
29%
55 54 1 0
20 Aug. 2008
QAT
Catar
5 - 0
Tajikistan
TJK
79%
15%
6%
56 80 24 -1
13 Aug. 2008
IND
India
4 - 1
Tajikistan
TJK
38%
26%
36%
58 54 4 -2
07 Aug. 2008
PRK
Korea DPR
0 - 1
Tajikistan
TJK
75%
17%
8%
56 76 20 +2

Matches

Bangladesh
Bangladesh
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2009
BGD
Bangladesh
2 - 1
Sri Lanka
LKA
37%
26%
38%
41 44 3 0
06 Dec. 2009
BGD
Bangladesh
0 - 0
Pakistan
PAK
48%
25%
28%
41 38 3 0
04 Dec. 2009
BGD
Bangladesh
4 - 1
Bután
BTN
63%
20%
17%
41 28 13 0
30 Apr. 2009
BGD
Bangladesh
3 - 0
Macao
MAC
62%
20%
18%
41 26 15 0
28 Apr. 2009
BGD
Bangladesh
1 - 2
Myanmar
MMR
24%
23%
53%
42 53 11 -1
X