Tayikistán U23 vs Nepal U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tayikistán U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
TJK
0 - 0
KGZ
55%
21%
24%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
TJK
3 - 2
IND
25%
22%
54%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
UAE
3 - 0
TJK
65%
20%
16%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
UAE
3 - 0
TJK
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TJK
0 - 0
VIE
22%
22%
57%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nepal U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
PAK
2 - 1
NEP
69%
18%
12%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
NEP
0 - 2
VIE
15%
22%
64%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
JPN
1 - 0
NEP
85%
11%
4%
|
27 | 66 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
NEP
0 - 4
JPN
12%
19%
70%
|
27 | 65 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
KWT
5 - 0
NEP
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |