Tajikistan U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
52.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tajikistan U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
BLR
5 - 2
TJK
77%
16%
7%
|
31 | 62 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
TJK
1 - 0
LVA
18%
23%
59%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +4 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
EST
0 - 1
TJK
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
TUK
1 - 1
TJK
18%
21%
61%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
KGZ
3 - 1
TJK
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
LTU
2 - 0
MDA
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LTU
0 - 0
TUK
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 13 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
UKR
3 - 0
LTU
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
FIN
1 - 0
LTU
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
LVA
0 - 1
LTU
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |