Tavernes vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tavernes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
LLO
0 - 2
TAV
23%
24%
52%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
TAV
1 - 4
ALB
33%
25%
42%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
BEN
0 - 2
TAV
51%
24%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
TAV
1 - 1
MUR
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CDT
1 - 1
TAV
40%
25%
35%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
PEG
4 - 2
TCF
52%
24%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 1
PEG
27%
23%
49%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
PEG
1 - 0
ALG
42%
25%
33%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PEG
3 - 3
ENG
53%
23%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LLO
1 - 2
PEG
37%
26%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |