Taverne vs Winterthur II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
8º
16º
13º
47
1º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
87.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
87.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 48 |
3º
|
64.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
51% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
10º
|
41% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
29% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 35 |
13º
|
55.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
95.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
79.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 24 |
16º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FCB
0 - 3
TAV
54%
22%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TAV
3 - 2
FCG
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KRE
2 - 0
TAV
65%
18%
17%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FCW
1 - 1
TAV
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TAV
0 - 2
MEN
29%
28%
44%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Winterthur II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WIN
4 - 0
MEN
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
YFJ
5 - 1
WIN
60%
21%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
WIN
0 - 2
TUG
35%
24%
40%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ESC
1 - 0
WIN
33%
26%
42%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
WIN
4 - 1
UZW
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |