Taubaté vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taubaté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
COT
0 - 3
TAU
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
TAU
3 - 1
VOT
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
INT
2 - 1
TAU
56%
25%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 1
TAU
53%
24%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
TAU
2 - 1
GRÊ
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
TUP
29%
26%
46%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
COT
3 - 1
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
SJS
29%
27%
44%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
ATI
5 - 0
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |