Paulista A2 Round 4

Taubaté vs Paulista analysis

Taubaté Paulista
54 ELO 52
-2.8% Tilt -7.8%
4754º General ELO ranking 6889º
148º Country ELO ranking 280º
ELO win probability
47.1%
Taubaté
24.9%
Draw
28%
Paulista

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
Taubaté
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28%
Win probability
Paulista
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Taubaté
+24%
+42%
Paulista

ELO progression

Taubaté
Paulista
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Taubaté
Taubaté
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2016
BAT
Batatais
3 - 2
Taubaté
TAU
38%
27%
35%
54 53 1 0
02 Feb. 2016
GUA
Guaraní
1 - 1
Taubaté
TAU
58%
24%
18%
54 60 6 0
30 Jan. 2016
TAU
Taubaté
5 - 1
49%
23%
28%
53 50 3 +1
31 May. 2015
TAU
Taubaté
4 - 0
Votuporanguense
VOT
33%
25%
42%
51 56 5 +2
24 May. 2015
VOT
Votuporanguense
3 - 0
Taubaté
TAU
51%
24%
25%
52 55 3 -1

Matches

Paulista
Paulista
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2016
PAU
Paulista
1 - 2
Portuguesa
POR
38%
26%
36%
52 56 4 0
03 Feb. 2016
PEN
Penapolense
1 - 2
Paulista
PAU
55%
24%
21%
51 59 8 +1
30 Jan. 2016
PAU
Paulista
1 - 4
RB Bragantino
BRA
21%
23%
56%
52 64 12 -1
18 Oct. 2015
RIO
Rio Branco SP
3 - 0
Paulista
PAU
49%
25%
27%
53 56 3 -1
15 Oct. 2015
PAU
Paulista
1 - 1
Nacional SP
NAC
47%
26%
28%
53 55 2 0