Taubaté vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taubaté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 1
TAU
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
TAU
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
TAU
1 - 1
XVD
19%
23%
58%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PRI
1 - 1
TAU
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TAU
0 - 3
NOV
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
POR
27%
26%
46%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 1
MON
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
FER
16%
23%
61%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LEM
0 - 2
MON
20%
21%
60%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
LIN
32%
27%
42%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |