Copa Paulista First Round Round 10

Taubaté vs Portuguesa analysis

Taubaté Portuguesa
56 ELO 51
-11.2% Tilt -8.8%
4812º General ELO ranking 2199º
148º Country ELO ranking 67º
ELO win probability
55%
Taubaté
24.5%
Draw
20.5%
Portuguesa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
Taubaté
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.5%
Win probability
Portuguesa
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Taubaté
+24%
+24%
Portuguesa

ELO progression

Taubaté
Portuguesa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Taubaté
Taubaté
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 2019
DES
Desportivo Brasil
0 - 1
Taubaté
TAU
39%
26%
36%
55 53 2 0
11 Aug. 2019
JUV
CA Juventus
0 - 1
Taubaté
TAU
39%
27%
34%
54 56 2 +1
04 Aug. 2019
TAU
Taubaté
2 - 1
Corinthians B
SCS
79%
14%
7%
54 16 38 0
27 Jul. 2019
NAC
Nacional SP
0 - 0
Taubaté
TAU
46%
24%
30%
54 54 0 0
23 Jul. 2019
POR
Portuguesa
0 - 1
Taubaté
TAU
34%
26%
40%
54 50 4 0

Matches

Portuguesa
Portuguesa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 2019
POR
Portuguesa
1 - 0
CA Juventus
JUV
31%
27%
43%
50 55 5 0
09 Aug. 2019
SCS
Corinthians B
1 - 0
Portuguesa
POR
9%
17%
73%
51 16 35 -1
06 Aug. 2019
POR
Portuguesa
2 - 0
Nacional SP
NAC
33%
27%
41%
50 54 4 +1
26 Jul. 2019
DES
Desportivo Brasil
1 - 1
Portuguesa
POR
56%
24%
21%
50 53 3 0
23 Jul. 2019
POR
Portuguesa
0 - 1
Taubaté
TAU
34%
26%
40%
50 54 4 0