Tarup-Paarup vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
53%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarup-Paarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
JAM
3 - 0
TAR
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
TAR
1 - 2
VEJ
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TAR
2 - 0
DAL
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
SKI
3 - 0
TAR
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
TAR
1 - 4
ODD
55%
22%
24%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
AAF
1 - 0
RIN
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ODD
1 - 1
AAF
20%
23%
57%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
AAF
2 - 0
BRA
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
DAL
0 - 1
AAF
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
KJE
0 - 0
AAF
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |