Tartu FC Santos vs Nõmme Kalju II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu FC Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
TFS
1 - 2
KUR
84%
10%
6%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
KIV
7 - 3
TFS
31%
21%
48%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
TFS
2 - 5
LEV
41%
22%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
LEV
5 - 0
TFS
48%
23%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TFS
0 - 2
KIV
84%
10%
6%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Nõmme Kalju II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
RAK
2 - 0
NOM
62%
20%
19%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
NOM
0 - 1
KUR
69%
18%
14%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
FLO
3 - 1
NOM
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
NOM
0 - 1
FLO
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
KUR
1 - 0
NOM
34%
24%
43%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |