Tarouquense vs Penalva Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
57.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarouquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FAV
0 - 0
TAR
41%
23%
36%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
TAR
1 - 1
VIS
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SER
0 - 4
TAR
11%
18%
72%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TAR
1 - 0
MAN
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 0
TAR
45%
23%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 0
SAT
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
RES
1 - 0
PEN
24%
23%
53%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PEN
7 - 1
NEL
83%
12%
5%
|
30 | 8 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 3
PEN
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 0
LAM
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | -1 |