Tårnby FF vs Holbæk B&I analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
7º
4º
36
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tårnby FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KAR
3 - 1
TAR
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TAR
3 - 0
B19
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GVI
2 - 2
TAR
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KFU
1 - 2
TAR
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TAR
3 - 1
HER
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Holbæk B&I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
HOL
6 - 0
HER
84%
10%
6%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
GSL
0 - 2
HOL
20%
19%
62%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
HOL
0 - 1
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BRØ
1 - 1
HOL
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
HOL
0 - 1
KFU
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |