Taranto vs Sorrento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 1
TAR
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
TAR
3 - 2
GRA
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ASF
2 - 3
TAR
29%
22%
50%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 3
TAR
19%
22%
59%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
TAR
1 - 1
USB
61%
22%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FCS
2 - 1
SOR
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
SOR
3 - 1
TUR
44%
26%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SOR
0 - 0
HYR
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
SOR
1 - 1
HYR
56%
24%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 1
SOR
72%
16%
13%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |