Taranto vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
MOD
1 - 0
TAR
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
CAT
2 - 0
TAR
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
TAR
1 - 0
LEC
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
SSS
3 - 0
TAR
52%
26%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
COM
1 - 1
TAR
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
TOR
1 - 0
NOV
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1959 |
NOV
1 - 0
REG
46%
25%
28%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
VNZ
4 - 0
NOV
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
CAG
0 - 0
NOV
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
NOV
0 - 1
ASS
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |