Taranto vs FC Francavilla 1931 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
PIC
0 - 0
TAR
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
TAR
1 - 0
POM
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SSE
2 - 2
TAR
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
TAR
2 - 1
AUD
31%
26%
43%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 3
TAR
22%
24%
53%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
FC Francavilla 1931
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FCF
1 - 0
GRA
41%
24%
35%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
NAR
4 - 1
FCF
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FCF
2 - 1
SFM
83%
12%
6%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
PIC
2 - 1
FCF
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FCF
1 - 1
FBC
22%
21%
57%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |