CD Tarancón vs CD Manchego Ciudad Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
14º
11º
62
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Tarancón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
TAR
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TAR
2 - 0
CDT
24%
25%
51%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +3 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
UDS
0 - 3
TAR
74%
17%
9%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
RJA
3 - 0
TAR
45%
25%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MIG
2 - 1
TAR
16%
21%
63%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Manchego Ciudad Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDC
1 - 0
ILL
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ATT
1 - 2
CDC
18%
24%
58%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
CDC
0 - 1
LEG
17%
23%
60%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 1
CDC
65%
22%
14%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CDC
3 - 0
ROD
83%
14%
4%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |