COSAFA Challenge Cup Group A Round 3

Tanzania vs Mauritius analysis

Tanzania Mauritius
60 ELO 46
-7.1% Tilt -4.1%
2362º General ELO ranking 7732º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
69.3%
Tanzania
18.8%
Draw
12%
Mauritius

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
Tanzania
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12%
Win probability
Mauritius
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tanzania
+24%
+11%
Mauritius

ELO progression

Tanzania
Mauritius
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tanzania
Tanzania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jun. 2017
ANG
Angola
0 - 0
Tanzania
TAN
52%
25%
23%
60 67 7 0
25 Jun. 2017
TAN
Tanzania
2 - 0
Malawi
MWI
43%
27%
31%
58 60 2 +2
10 Jun. 2017
TAN
Tanzania
1 - 1
Lesotho
LSO
47%
25%
28%
58 56 2 0
28 Mar. 2017
TAN
Tanzania
2 - 1
Burundi
BDI
41%
26%
34%
57 58 1 +1
25 Mar. 2017
TAN
Tanzania
2 - 0
Botswana
BOT
34%
28%
39%
56 63 7 +1

Matches

Mauritius
Mauritius
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jun. 2017
MWI
Malawi
0 - 0
Mauritius
MUS
69%
19%
12%
45 59 14 0
25 Jun. 2017
MUS
Mauritius
0 - 1
Angola
ANG
14%
23%
64%
46 67 21 -1
29 Apr. 2017
SYC
Seychelles
1 - 1
Mauritius
MUS
31%
23%
46%
46 41 5 0
22 Apr. 2017
MUS
Mauritius
2 - 1
Seychelles
SYC
48%
23%
29%
45 41 4 +1
28 Mar. 2017
MUS
Mauritius
1 - 1
Comoros
COM
75%
15%
10%
44 24 20 +1