Tamworth vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
48.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
HYD
2 - 2
TAM
17%
21%
62%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
TAM
1 - 1
BOS
24%
24%
53%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 1
TAM
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
TAM
0 - 1
STO
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
TAM
2 - 1
GLO
39%
26%
36%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CHO
2 - 1
BRA
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
4 - 0
CHO
32%
28%
40%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CHO
2 - 0
STA
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
OXF
0 - 0
CHO
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
COL
0 - 2
CHO
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |