Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Philadelphia Union II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tampa Bay Rowdies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
TAM
3 - 0
MIA
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
TAM
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
TAM
2 - 1
AFC
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2020 |
TAM
1 - 1
MIA
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
AFC
0 - 2
TAM
26%
25%
49%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Philadelphia Union II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
PHU
1 - 2
AFC
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
PHU
3 - 2
NYO
16%
19%
65%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
PIT
4 - 0
PHU
66%
21%
14%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
HAA
3 - 2
PHU
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
PHU
1 - 5
NYO
22%
21%
58%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |