Esiliiga round 28

Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu FC analysis

Tallinna Kalev Maardu FC
49 ELO 50
17.3% Tilt 14.8%
2307º General ELO ranking 945º
14º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
36.1%
Tallinna Kalev
22.1%
Draw
41.8%
Maardu FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
Tallinna Kalev
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
41.8%
Win probability
Maardu FC
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tallinna Kalev
-44%
+5%
Maardu FC

ELO progression

Tallinna Kalev
Maardu FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tallinna Kalev
Tallinna Kalev
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2016
TAL
Tallinna Kalev
5 - 0
Tääksi
TAA
83%
10%
6%
47 18 29 0
27 Aug. 2016
MAA
Maardu FC
2 - 1
Tallinna Kalev
TAL
54%
22%
24%
48 50 2 -1
24 Aug. 2016
TAL
Tallinna Kalev
0 - 1
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
31%
22%
47%
49 54 5 -1
20 Aug. 2016
FLO
FC Flora Tallin II
2 - 2
Tallinna Kalev
TAL
74%
16%
11%
48 60 12 +1
17 Aug. 2016
JKJ
Alliance FC
1 - 2
Tallinna Kalev
TAL
39%
24%
36%
48 46 2 0

Matches

Maardu FC
Maardu FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2016
MAA
Maardu FC
2 - 1
Tallinna Kalev
TAL
54%
22%
24%
50 48 2 0
24 Aug. 2016
JKJ
Alliance FC
2 - 2
Maardu FC
MAA
23%
22%
55%
50 44 6 0
21 Aug. 2016
MAA
Maardu FC
0 - 4
Nõmme Kalju II
NOM
66%
19%
16%
51 45 6 -1
17 Aug. 2016
TIN
Tallinna Infonet II
1 - 5
Maardu FC
MAA
70%
16%
14%
49 57 8 +2
14 Aug. 2016
MAA
Maardu FC
0 - 1
Tartu FC Santos
TFS
60%
20%
20%
50 46 4 -1