Tallinna Kalev vs Harju JK Laagri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
6º
4º
23
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
TAL
20 - 0
VHP
85%
10%
5%
|
57 | 9 | 48 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 1
TAL
80%
14%
6%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
TAL
0 - 1
TRA
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FLO
3 - 0
TAL
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
TAL
1 - 1
PAI
20%
24%
56%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
HJP
0 - 1
PAI
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
TAM
2 - 0
HJP
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
HJP
31%
24%
46%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
HJP
1 - 1
KUR
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
HJP
0 - 1
FLO
13%
20%
68%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | -1 |