Copa del Rey . 1/256
Global 3-1
Talavera CF vs Caudal Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Talavera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
CAR
0 - 2
TAL
55%
23%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
TAL
3 - 1
ATB
50%
26%
24%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
SDM
1 - 1
TAL
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
TAL
1 - 1
HUE
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
TUD
2 - 2
TAL
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
CAU
0 - 1
SSC
29%
28%
43%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
SIE
2 - 2
CAU
25%
29%
46%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
CAU
2 - 0
LUG
38%
29%
33%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
ROB
0 - 1
CAU
73%
18%
10%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
CAU
0 - 1
ENS
30%
28%
42%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |