Tai Chung vs South China AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tai Chung
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
TCS
1 - 3
TMS
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
CAA
3 - 1
TCS
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
SHS
3 - 0
TCS
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
TCS
1 - 1
SCA
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
TCS
1 - 3
CAA
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SCA
2 - 1
SHS
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SCA
2 - 0
CAA
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2010 |
SCA
6 - 1
HVA
74%
17%
10%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
SCA
2 - 1
KFC
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
TCS
1 - 1
SCA
18%
22%
60%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |