Tägerwilen vs FC Thalwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
66%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+221%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
8º
16º
14º
0
4º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
11º
|
0 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 60 |
2º
|
72.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 57 |
3º
|
69% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 48 |
4º
|
52.5% | |
|
3º
|
0 | 46 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 44 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 43 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
|
8º
|
0 | 41 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
0 | 41 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
0 | 38 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 38 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
1º
|
0 | 34 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
0 | 33 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 30 |
14º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 29 |
15º
|
53.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 20 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 97% |
|
Relegation
|
85% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tägerwilen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
DUB
9 - 2
TAG
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TAG
0 - 3
UST
23%
21%
57%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
SVS
6 - 0
TAG
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CHU
4 - 0
TAG
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TAG
3 - 4
FRA
17%
18%
65%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FCT
5 - 1
SVS
24%
21%
55%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CHU
2 - 2
FCT
50%
23%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 2
FRA
44%
22%
35%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCT
38%
24%
39%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCT
5 - 0
WID
36%
22%
42%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |