Switzerland Fifth Division Round 21

Tägerwilen vs FC Thalwil analysis

Tägerwilen FC Thalwil
21 ELO 33
-0.4% Tilt 7.7%
25038º General ELO ranking 8288º
277º Country ELO ranking 116º
ELO win probability
14.7%
Tägerwilen
18.2%
Draw
67.1%
FC Thalwil

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
Tägerwilen
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
67.1%
Win probability
FC Thalwil
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Tägerwilen
Their league position
FC Thalwil
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
16º
15º
40
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SV Schaffhausen
73
73
100%
Frauenfeld
60
60
100%
Widnau
50
50
100%
Bülach
49
49
100%
Wil II
47
47
100%
Chur 97
44
44
56%
Lachen/Altendorf
42
43
24.5%
Uster
42
42
68.5%
FC Thalwil
40
41
24.5%
Bazenheid
10º
40
40
10º
56%
Dübendorf
11º
36
36
11º
100%
Dardania St. Gallen
12º
35
35
12º
100%
FC Rapperswil-Jona II
13º
34
34
13º
0%
Adliswil
14º
34
34
14º
0%
Tägerwilen
15º
26
26
15º
100%
Weesen
16º
21
21
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tägerwilen
FC Thalwil
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Tägerwilen
FC Thalwil
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tägerwilen
Tägerwilen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2024
DUB
Dübendorf
9 - 2
Tägerwilen
TAG
67%
17%
16%
18 24 6 0
06 Apr. 2024
TAG
Tägerwilen
0 - 3
Uster
UST
22%
20%
58%
18 28 10 0
28 Mar. 2024
SVS
SV Schaffhausen
6 - 0
Tägerwilen
TAG
79%
13%
8%
18 44 26 0
23 Mar. 2024
CHU
Chur 97
4 - 0
Tägerwilen
TAG
75%
14%
10%
19 31 12 -1
16 Mar. 2024
TAG
Tägerwilen
3 - 4
Frauenfeld
FRA
17%
17%
66%
19 29 10 0

Matches

FC Thalwil
FC Thalwil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
FCT
FC Thalwil
5 - 1
SV Schaffhausen
SVS
24%
20%
56%
30 44 14 0
06 Apr. 2024
CHU
Chur 97
2 - 2
FC Thalwil
FCT
49%
23%
28%
30 30 0 0
28 Mar. 2024
FCT
FC Thalwil
1 - 2
Frauenfeld
FRA
45%
22%
34%
30 30 0 0
23 Mar. 2024
FCA
Adliswil
1 - 2
FC Thalwil
FCT
37%
24%
39%
29 25 4 +1
16 Mar. 2024
FCT
FC Thalwil
5 - 0
Widnau
WID
34%
22%
44%
27 31 4 +2