Tägerwilen vs Bazenheid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
50.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
16º
15º
40
4º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tägerwilen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCR
5 - 0
TAG
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TAG
2 - 4
FCW
52%
20%
28%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 1
TAG
77%
13%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TAG
5 - 3
DSG
28%
21%
51%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FCB
5 - 2
TAG
66%
17%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bazenheid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
BAZ
0 - 1
SVS
24%
20%
56%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
BAZ
2 - 0
WID
25%
21%
54%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +3 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
CHU
0 - 1
BAZ
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BAZ
2 - 3
FRA
27%
21%
52%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
LAC
4 - 1
BAZ
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |