FAW Championship Gales South Round 20

Taffs Well vs Trefelin analysis

Taffs Well Trefelin
39 ELO 35
-3.4% Tilt 7.4%
8915º General ELO ranking 4765º
60º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
57.9%
Taffs Well
19.5%
Draw
22.7%
Trefelin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
Taffs Well
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
22.7%
Win probability
Trefelin
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Taffs Well
-39%
+8%
Trefelin

ELO progression

Taffs Well
Trefelin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Taffs Well
Taffs Well
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2024
ABB
Abertillery Bluebirds
1 - 1
Taffs Well
TAF
11%
15%
74%
40 19 21 0
15 Dec. 2023
LID
Afan Lido
2 - 2
Taffs Well
TAF
50%
22%
27%
40 41 1 0
25 Nov. 2023
LLA
Llantwit Major
1 - 3
Taffs Well
TAF
40%
23%
37%
38 38 0 +2
17 Nov. 2023
TAF
Taffs Well
2 - 1
Abertillery Bluebirds
ABB
79%
13%
8%
38 19 19 0
03 Nov. 2023
TAF
Taffs Well
3 - 1
Abergavenny Town
ABE
75%
15%
11%
38 24 14 0

Matches

Trefelin
Trefelin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 2024
TRE
Trefelin
3 - 1
Caerau Ely
CAE
39%
21%
41%
31 35 4 0
30 Dec. 2023
LID
Afan Lido
5 - 2
Trefelin
TRE
67%
17%
17%
33 40 7 -2
26 Dec. 2023
TRE
Trefelin
2 - 1
Afan Lido
LID
22%
18%
60%
30 42 12 +3
15 Dec. 2023
AAF
Ammanford AFC
1 - 1
Trefelin
TRE
68%
17%
16%
30 40 10 0
25 Nov. 2023
BDG
Baglan Dragons
4 - 1
Trefelin
TRE
19%
19%
63%
31 20 11 -1